By Kevin Glancy
Dr. David Karoly is typical of that particular group of scientific folk regularly rolled out by the ABC or any other media entity that wants to toe the politically correct line in support of the carbon tax and CO2 induced climate change. In fairness to these learned folk, they do have academic qualifications and within their cloistered university halls they may even be considered ‘really bright’. But an occasional look out of the window may be of benefit to their thinking rather than concentrating just on the stuff they read in books.
Their opinions with regard to the role of CO2 and global warming are often based on hypothesis, conjecture, models or random thoughts. Their job is to spread fear amongst those who choose to listen.
Tim Flannery is also a typical exponent of this type of scaremongering. The trouble with our Tim is that, as far as his previous global warming predictions are concerned; if he was a betting man he would be bankrupt.
Mind you, he’s doing his best to lead this country down that same path. Flannery is the reason we now have very expensive desalination plants in mothballs because they are not required – the heavy rain didn’t stop as he predicted.
Much like the good Doctor Karoly, reality is not necessarily part of the group’s CO2 equation and the following is a typical example of the kind of nonsense dropped on the unsuspecting public and left to ferment as if it was the product of an accumulated wisdom beyond the reach of normal folk.
In this instance Dr. Karoly was again responding to the politically correct climate call. Here he was on the ABC talking about climate change and bushfires, commenting for effect, that Mildura residents have never been this hot;
“It gets more extreme in Mildura, and I mean most people in Mildura know that, yes it’s been getting hotter, it’s also been getting drier.” The good Doctor pontificated.
Of course his intent was clear; global warming is real, temperatures are hotter and there’s less rain in Mildura. Be afraid – be very afraid. The place just isn’t the same anymore so you can forget the good ‘ole days. See why we have to do something about CO2?
The trouble with Dr. Karoly’s statement was that typically it wasn’t based on reality. As far as temperatures and rainfall go, Mildura is pretty much the same as it always has been. In fact if anything, it was hotter and drier in the good ‘ole days. But let’s not tell the folk that kind of stuff. Let’s not let the truth get in the way of a good story, it’s just isn’t scary enough.
So here’s the reality as we know it based on fact not Karoly fiction.
According to ABC Watch having checked the available weather data in Mildura, the following indicates that it was in fact hotter and drier in the early 1900’s and if anything it’s slightly cooler and wetter now.
The following statistics are courtesy of www.abcnewswatch.com.au
Here’s the recorded data from the two Bureau of Meteorology sites available in Mildura. The numbers 76077 indicate the post office site and 76031 is the airport; (the stats are updated to show figures from 1910)
Contrary to Dr. Karoly’s claim on the ABC – rainfall has increased in recent years; Mildura is not getting drier;
Mean Rainfall station 76077 1889-1949: 266.6mm
Mean Rainfall station 76031 1946-2011: 293.1mm
Contrary to Dr. Karoly’s claim Mildura is not getting hotter – max and min temps in Mildura are cooler than previously;
Mean Max temp station 76077 1889-1949: 24.6 degrees C
Mean Max temp station 76031 1946-2011: 23.8 degrees C
Mean Min temp station 76077 1889-1949: 10.4 degrees C
Mean Min temp station 76031 1946-2011: 10.3 degrees C
I would strongly recommend to our taxpayer funded ABC that Dr. Karoly is not the kind of expert you should be investing our hard-earned money in. This is certainly not the first time that David Karoly has got it wrong. His paper claiming unprecedented warming in Australasia had to be withdrawn due to errors he made in that document.
But these people have no shame and it is the combined arrogance of the likes of Karoly, Steffens, Flannery and Gore et al that makes them dangerous and economically irresponsible.
These people, much like our Prime Minister and her Minister, Greg Combet, operate in and feel justified by a hypothetical world made of contrived models, coloured by lies and spin with highly suspect alarmist predictions. They even refer to a colourless, odourless gas which is essential to all life forms including plants, as some kind of pollution when, without it we would die.
They want us to reduce the presence of CO2 in our atmosphere when common sense would dictate that we should not tamper with it. We’ve had far more of it in the past than we have now, yet for whatever influence it has on our atmosphere, the overall mix that carbon dioxide occupies has sustained us and helped to keep this planet alive.
In effect, CO2 is a source of life; it is essential in our world and could be the answer to how we grow more plant food to feed an overpopulated world.
CO2 is certainly not the bad guy in our reality. For starters, explain in intimate detail just how the other and far more dominant, 97% of our atmosphere affects our climate before you pick on the little guy like some kind of bully. What about solar activity? What about water vapour?
In our reality we know the climate is changing, has always changed and will continue to change. We also know that we cannot rely on tomorrow’s weather forecast with any real certainty so until we can, don’t tell us that you know what the climate will be in 20 or 50 years.
Don’t tell us it’s warmer in Mildura when it clearly isn’t and if you must persist in peddling such nonsense tell us how you intend to stop it from happening or is that left to some kind of villain in a James Bond movie.
But what really takes the cake, is that these people believe that they can actually control the climate. Such arrogance made worse because they think that by destroying our standard of living, by dramatically increasing the cost of another essential commodity – electricity, it will somehow reduce the temperature regardless of whether anyone else in the world does anything.
Notwithstanding, that according to the UK MET Office, in reality, from data accrued from 3000 measuring sites around the globe, temperatures have been fairly stable for the last 16 years. No discernible rise whatsoever.
Yet according to the Karoly’s of this world CO2 is increasing temperatures when if that were so, temperatures would have at least risen in the last 16 years. There is no evidence to support such a claim – not even in Mildura where temperatures have actually decreased.
As for your climate change models? Any mathematician can throw in the right bunch of figures to create a model of an elephant but that’s not reality and just like your models, not something we should be spending billions of dollars on.
These people have absolutely no credibility yet our governments continue to listen to them – we are a country run by fools – led by academics, the arrogant and the dangerous.